Information Spillover, Volatility and the Currency Markets

International Econometric Review -Cilt 1, Sayı 1
Sayfalar: 50-62

Yazarlar

Walid Ben Omrane

Department of Finance, Operations and Information Systems, Brock University, St. Catharines, Ontario, Canada

Christian M. Hafner

Institut de statistique, Université catholique de Louvain, Voie du Roman Pays 20, B-1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium

Özet

We use an impulse response methodology to analyse the effects of U.S. macroeconomic news announcements on the volatilities of three major exchange rates (Euro, Pound Sterling and Yen). Our data consist of 5 minute returns on exchange rates as well as the times of news announcements. In the definition of impulse responses, we allow for different types of news, and consider two categories in the application: those considered positive or negative for the U.S. economy. Using a multivariate GARCH model with exogenous news effects, we find that the initial impact of positive news on the volatility of the Pound is higher than that of the Euro, whereas the persistence of shocks is highest for the Yen. For negative news, we find that an important part of the impact on the Yen and Pound is induced by volatility spillover from the Euro.

Anahtar Kelimeler

InformationVolatilityImpulse response functionForeign exchange

JEL Sınıflandırması

C32C53F31

DOI

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Dergi Bilgileri

Dergi Adı
International Econometric Review
Cilt / Sayı
1 / 1
Yayın Tarihi
Aralık 2024